US soldier pleads not guilty over prediction trades on Maduro capture
Serviceman accused of making more than $400,000 from trading on classified information
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US soldier charged in prediction market bets on Maduro’s seizure
Member of military was involved in planning Venezuela operation and allegedly made $400,000 on trades about mission
Half of ‘long shot’ Polymarket bets on military action are successful
High rate of winning wagers likely to add to concerns that sensitive information can leak on prediction markets
US soldier who fought for Kyiv guilty of Florida murders and Venezuela ‘coup’
Craig Lang case highlights risks posed by radicalised foreign fighters returning from conflict
Maduro tightens personal security as US strike threat intensifies
Fear spreads among officials and intelligence agents as crisis raises prospect of attack or negotiated exit
Machado’s risky gambit in escaping Venezuela and relying on Trump
Opposition leader who won Nobel Peace Prize is running out of alternatives for overthrowing Maduro
Polymarket refuses to pay bets that US would ‘invade’ Venezuela
Prediction market disputes US raid amounted to an invasion in fight over more than $10.5mn in wagers