The Iran crisis has not yet peaked
The war is currently more likely to escalate than to be resolved by negotiation
The war is currently more likely to escalate than to be resolved by negotiation

Sometimes crises do not blow over as investors might hope

Tehran has a strong incentive to keep the conflict going

A global energy crisis is only just beginning. Political turmoil will follow

An assessment almost six weeks into the latest global economic crisis

Poorer countries face a triple whammy of crises in fuel, food and remittances

Iran has been severely degraded but for Trump there are lessons to learn