Top experts from Colorado State University released their first forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season on April 9, which said a slightly below-average season is likely.
Overall, CSU meteorologists predict a total of 13 tropical storms will form, of which six will become hurricanes. A typical year averages about 14 tropical storms, with seven spinning into hurricanes, based on weather records that date from 1991 to 2020.
The forecast also includes a state-by-state look at the predicted hurricane risk. Those calculations center around the chances of a storm passing within 50 miles of the state.
Per usual, the highest risk is in Florida, which faces a 74% chance of being impacted by a tropical storm and a 43% chance of being impacted by a hurricane.
Will your state be impacted by a tropical storm or hurricane? Here's what to know about the risk in 2026, according to the new forecast.
