In what is beginning to look like a fragmented five-party system, small swings carry outsized political consequences
‘Anyone but Labour’ or ‘anyone but Reform’? Clash of animosities likely to define May local elections
Cabinet reshuffles, party infighting, policy reversals, byelections, defections and apparently huge swings in support – the UK’s political news cycle feels especially relentless at the moment.
But if you look closely at the polls since last year’s local elections, remarkably little has changed.
While there have been some noticeable individual polls, most movements have been limited to a small number of percentage points. The big parties are roughly where they were. Reform has had a comfortable lead for almost a year.
