Proponents of foreign intervention in Iran are unlikely to get the sudden rupture and regime change they hope for.
Professor in Economics of the Middle East, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Germany.
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For years, interventionists in the West made the argument that the long-term costs of the political order in Iran, such as repression, economic decay, and social stagnation, outweighed the risks of a violent external regime change. Last month, the “moral barrier” to intervention was significantly lowered by the bloody crackdown on protests in January and the extensive positive coverage of the Iranian opposition in Western media.
