U.S. Supreme Court tariff ruling will likely allow India to keep buying Russian oil

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India will likely continue buying Russian oil as the U.S. Supreme Court’s verdict outlawing President Donald Trump’s import tariffs has constrained his trade policy options, analysts said.

“I do expect that India will maintain a healthy relationship with Russia, including on energy,” Sarang Shidore, director of the Global South Program at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft told CNBC’s Inside India. He added that India could reduce its Russian oil purchases but is unlikely to stop completely.

According to energy data provider Kpler, India has imported 1.16 million barrel per day (mbd) of Russian oil so far in February, lower than an average intake of 1.71 million barrels per day in 2025.

While it is too early to draw data on March and April arrivals, Muyu Xu, senior research analyst for crude at Kpler, said that “market chatter indicates” Indian refiners have refrained from booking April delivery of Russian oil this month following an interim US-India trade deal reached earlier this month.