Groundhog Day 2026 is here, and the world's eyes turned to Punxsutawney Phil's prognostication (he did see his shadow on Monday, Feb. 2, which predicts there will be six more weeks of winter).

But what do real weather forecasters say?

Professional forecasters say that a frigid February is likely for the eastern half of the nation, while the West enjoys mild to warm weather overall for the immediate future. Thus, if you're looking for an early spring, head West!

Americans should remember that Groundhog Day is just some mid-winter fun and climate records say that winter probably isn't over, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Read the forecast: February forecast calls for more polar vortex mayhem