ByConor Murray,
Forbes Staff.
Online bettors waged millions on which movies and actors would earn nominations at the Academy Awards this year, and although many predictions were correct, a few were wrong—like Ariana Grande missing a Best Supporting Actress nod and “F1” surprising in Best Picture.
Online bettors correctly predicted movies like “One Battle After Another” and “Sinners” would capture nominations in top categories at the Oscars, according to bets waged by users on online prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi.
But some predictions were off, like the supporting actress category, with neither Polymarket nor Kalshi predicting Oscar nominee Elle Fanning, while Polymarket bettors incorrectly projected Ariana Grande would get a nod,.








