Reform’s lead is persistent but pollsters themselves point out that their models come with significant uncertainty
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Nigel Farage has spent his political career disrupting the political order, but with Reform UK’s popularity on the rise, some in Westminster believe he could be on course to pull off the greatest political earthquake in modern British political history.
Not only have recent polls pointed to Reform effectively replacing the Conservatives as the main opposition, some have even suggested Farage could enter Downing Street if such support is maintained at the next election.
But what exactly are the current polls telling us? And how likely is it that such a huge shift will actually materialise?
