Moody’s own leading economic indicator that uses machine learning has estimated the odds of a recession in the next 12 months are now at 48%.
Winter is coming: U.S. will be most vulnerable to a recession late this year and early next as tariff and immigration fallout peak, top economist says
August 22, 2025
A third of the U.S. economy is already in a recession or at high risk, and another third is stagnating, Zandi warns
August 25, 2025
The most troubling feature of the job market is how thinly spread gains are, top economist says — ‘this only happens when the economy is in recession’
With the economy facing many threats, it wouldn't take much to push it into recession, Mark Zandi warns.
Moody’s chief economist, Mark Zandi, tells Fortune parts of America are already in recession, with 22 state economies contracting…
Moody’s warns U.S. job growth has stalled as the shutdown halts official labor data, forcing Wall Street and the Fed to rely on…
"Stable but elevated" isn't something you want to hear in a medical checkup, or in a recession likelihood outlook.
"Since the beginning of the year, the economy has created a paltry 600k jobs, but without the job growth in these industries,…
"Obviously nobody wants a recession. But also in the context of Fed independence, they really don't want to get blamed for going…
