China said to be ‘highly unlikely’ to attack the island, according to report
As the US Congress works to finish its annual defence authorisation bill, with new measures aimed at countering China’s influence, a report released Wednesday argues that Washington would be better served by toning down rhetoric about Taiwan and reducing defence investments premised on a looming mainland Chinese attack there.
Beijing is “highly unlikely” to attack Taiwan, with its chances of success increasingly improbable, authors of the Stimson Centre report, “Rethinking the Threat”, said.
The authors, Dan Grazier, MacKenna Rawlins, and James Siebens – all researchers at the Washington-based think tank – contend that strategic, political, economic and practical military reasons all argue against it, laying out one of the more comprehensive cases to challenge what they call Washington’s “threat inflation”.
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