China subsidises consumer loans as deflation spectre looms
Latest stimulus plan aims to boost consumption while protecting banks’ profit margins
Latest stimulus plan aims to boost consumption while protecting banks’ profit margins

Beijing’s policies have encouraged overproduction and excessive competition

Growth raises concerns about underwriting and risk management at fast-expanding groups

Slower economic growth and stagnant wages have knocked confidence and lending

The next bailout is likely to involve inflationary financing of fiscal deficits by central banks

Given all this fragility, recessionary or inflationary shocks — or even both together — are conceivable

History suggests the political approach ends in unsustainable debt and lower GDP