The RBI has flagged El Niño and an uneven southwest monsoon as key risks to agriculture, rural demand and the broader economy, despite cutting its FY27 inflation forecast to 5%. Governor Sanjay Malhotra said government measures, including climate-resilient crops, water conservation and adequate foodgrain stocks, should cushion the impact, though volatile crude prices and geopolitical tensions continue to pose inflation risks.

RBI Inflation 2026-27 Forecast: The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee cut its FY27 inflation forecast to 5% from 5.1%, citing softer global crude oil prices and easing supply-side…

RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Crude Oil Price Impact on Inflation: The central bank warns volatile crude oil prices pose inflation risks. Geopolitical tensions cloud the near-term outlook…