The next crop of listings will be huge. Their returns may not be
SpaceX: $86bn IPO at $2trn, then lost $500bn value. OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, Databricks eyeing launches—yet IPO hype doesn't guarantee investor gains. For tech leaders: mega pre-IPO valuations fail to translate post-listing performance, flagging unsustainable AI funding dynamics.
Thinking of riding the next big tech sharemarket float to instant riches? History has a brutal reality check for you.
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SpaceX jumped 67%, then fell below IPO price; 70% of US IPOs underperform by -20 to -35 points within 1-2 years. Founder/banker hype inflates valuations beyond fundamentals—tech leaders evaluating M&A or capital rounds should discount AI IPO froth and expect compressed returns.
More than half of US IPOs that outperformed in month one were lagging within year
SpaceX is spending gobs of money to refashion itself as an AI company