Pauline Hanson’s party would still win between nine and 15 Senate seats if an election were held now – enough to give it a balance of power role.

Support for Pauline Hanson and One Nation has soared this year. But there are signs some of her key messages are starting to turn off voters.

Data shows the rightwing party faces an obstacle in the form of urban seats – and the effect of preference flows is harder to predict

Pauline Hanson’s party would still win between nine and 15 Senate seats if an election were held now – enough to give it a balance of power role.

Detailed polling shows what voters like about Pauline Hanson, and many are clearly interested in some of her offerings – but can she ride the wave to 2028?