Since the 2024 general election two outcomes could have been predicted about the future of Reform UK by even the dimmest GCSE politics student.

Exclusive: Pollster Luke Tryl claimed Mr Farage’s difficult week and questions over funding could see Reform UK lose voters who had switched from the Conservative party

The Reform UK leader’s decision to call a by-election was no spur-of-the-moment notion but a considered plan, with an acceptance of even the worst-case scenario, as political…