Will Elon Musk merge SpaceX and Tesla into a $5 trillion giant to challenge Nvidia? Here is what the math and prediction markets say about a potential deal.

Elon Musk projects $1 trillion in SpaceX revenue by 2030 after its $75 billion IPO, as Anthony Pompliano urges a Tesla-SpaceX merger.

That logic, and Musks dominant role at both companies, creates a potential conflict of interest because it would advantage the likely acquirer, SpaceX — where Musk has far greater…