"Each additional month of disruption would lift average prices by roughly $5 in 3Q26 and $15 in 4Q26, driven primarily by accelerating inventory depletion."

Oil prices jumped over 3% on Monday as escalating strikes between Iran and Israel heightened fears of prolonged regional instability, threatening a fragile ceasefire.

"Each additional month of disruption would lift average prices by roughly $5 in 3Q26 and $15 in 4Q26, driven primarily by accelerating inventory depletion."