Ukraine, bleeding and battered, is not going to lose. Russia, complacent and brittle, is not going to win. Indeed, Russia now looks far more vulnerable: economically, military and most of all psychologically. Vladimir Putin told the Russians that victory would be quick and easy. His prestige, and that lie, are linked, probably fatally.

The attack was so sensational and audacious that in the past few days people have actually started to wonder: is it possible that Ukraine could win this war?

Ukraine, bleeding and battered, is not going to lose. Russia, complacent and brittle, is not going to win. Indeed, Russia now looks far more vulnerable: economically, military and…