Monsoon onset over Kerala may see delay, rain likely to pick up after June 11

Monsoon onset over Kerala may see delay, rain likely to pick up after June 11

India's southwest monsoon onset over Kerala, originally forecast by IMD for May 26, is now expected to delay past June 11, with dry conditions driven by a West Pacific typhoon siphoning Arabian Sea moisture and a cyclonic circulation over Lakshadweep. Developing El Niño conditions flagged by MMCFS signal a potentially weak monsoon season ahead, a key variable for energy demand forecasting, agricultural supply chains, and infrastructure resilience planning across the subcontinent.