Trump announced a nearing peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 16.9% YES.

Iran seized control of the Strait of Hormuz, raising geopolitical tensions. Traffic normalization by July 31 now at 43% YES.

Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.

CENTCOM intensifies Hormuz blockade, redirecting 94 vessels. Average daily transits below 10 on May 31 at 84.5% YES.

US redirects 94 vessels in the Strait of Hormuz amid tensions. Average daily transits of 0-10 by May 31 at 84.5% YES.

Strait of Hormuz closure continues to disrupt oil supply. WTI Crude Oil May 2026 at 46.5% YES for prices reaching $150.

Iran tightens control over Strait of Hormuz vessel permits. Traffic normal by May at 6.2% YES, by July 31 at 46.5% YES.

Trump rejects Iranian tolls in the Strait of Hormuz. Blockade lifted by May 31, 2026 at 25.5% YES.

CENTCOM redirected 97 vessels amid heightened tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Transit of 20 ships on any day by May 31 at 54.5% YES.

Iran tightens control over the Strait of Hormuz, worsening shipping conditions. Traffic normal by May at 5.8% YES, by July 31 at 51.5% YES.

US and Iran are nearing a ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz reopening. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 8.3% YES.

Trump claims the US is close to an agreement with Iran, reducing conflict risk. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 22.5% YES.

Trump warns of potential military action as Iran nuclear deal talks stall. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 31.5% YES.

Iran and Pakistan proposed a deal to the US to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normal by July 31 at 60% YES.

Trump announced a nearing peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 16.9% YES.

Trump announced the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions. Blockade lifted by May 31 at 75.5% YES.

Trump says an Iran deal is largely negotiated, including reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Here's what it means for oil, markets, and crypto.

Iran agrees to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, halting tolls and fighting. Traffic returns to normal by July 31 at 71% YES.