Prediction markets platform Kalshi and the CME Group offered different data on the odds of cutting Federal Reserve interest rates under Chair Kevin Warsh, but both signaled no immediate changes.

With inflation spiking and Treasury yields surging, Warsh is likely to confront a Federal Open Market Committee in no mood to ease.

Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Fed Chair 54-45, but rising oil prices, 3.8% inflation, and hawkish colleagues threaten Trump's push for rate cuts.