The latest International Energy Agency assessment of the oil market points to a continuing shortfall of oil supply, and higher prices, even if the war were to end next month.

“The market has been complacent,” Chen Chien-Ming, an associate professor at NTU, says, blaming investors' "wishful thinking that the war will soon end.”

The US agency made huge revisions to its global oil supply, demand and inventory projections as a result of the Mideast war and closure of the Strait of Hormuz.