"We doubt that US tariffs will significantly affect inflation in the rest of the world, but if anything, the effect could be mildly disinflationary."

The producer price index — which measures inflation before it hits consumers — was up 0.9% last month from June and 3.3% from a year earlier, much higher than expected.

Retail sales rose 0.5% last month, maching economists' estimates.

"We doubt that US tariffs will significantly affect inflation in the rest of the world, but if anything, the effect could be mildly disinflationary."