Last month I spent 30 days letting AI write 100% of my code — a real SaaS, in production, no line of app code typed by me. Then I did the thing you're supposed to do after an experiment: I went and read what everyone else thinks is happening.
So I read the discourse. Not a few hot takes — I went deep, hundreds of posts, threads, and "the end of programming" essays, from both camps. The breathless "developers are obsolete by Christmas" crowd and the smug "AI is a stochastic parrot that can't count the r's in strawberry" crowd.
Here's the strange part. They agree on almost nothing — except they all make the same three mistakes. And once you see the three, you can't unsee them, because every prediction in your feed is built on at least one.
This isn't a hype post and it isn't a doom post. It's a post about why almost every hype post and every doom post is wrong for the exact same reasons.
Mistake 1: Arguing about "can AI write code?" when that was never the bottleneck
