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Odds of a Fed rate hike at the Sept. 16 FOMC meeting surged from 48% to 86% in just one month.
August CPI at 3.4%, a hotter-than-expected PPI, and rising oil prices strip away any easy justification for the Fed to pause.
The real market-mover on Sept. 16 will be Fed guidance, specifically whether it signals one-and-done relief or further hikes that pressure equity valuations.
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