US equity futures are lower as oil continues its ascent, pushing Brent above $100 for the first time since July 24 and pushing 10Y yields to 4.81%. As of 8:15am, S&P futures are trading at session lows, down 0.5% and after erasing early gains, echoing a rally in Asian technology shares that lost momentum as the session progressed. Nasdaq futures are down 0.6% as Mag 7s trade mixed premarket: META +5% after saying early Muse AI usage has “blown way past our projections” with users engaging 10x more than its test cohorts, while AMZN -0.4%. The Treasury Department is expected to announce on Wednesday the size of the next day’s operation to repurchase outstanding 10-year to 20-year securities. Treasury 10-year yields trade above 4.81%, rising by 3bps. USD extended losses, trading near a 7 month low.The yen extends gains to trade near 153.30 per dollar, outperforming its G-10 peers. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent challenged traders to test his resolve on boosting the Japanese currency. Hedge funds are betting the yen will strengthen beyond 150 by year-end. Commodities were mostly higher with WTI surging above $95 and Brent topping $100 (with Shanghai oil trading almost $10 higher) for the first time since July 24 after the US struck Iranian tankers near the Kharg Island export hub and in the Gulf of Oman. Tehran responded by firing missiles at Jordan and warning ships in the Persian Gulf. Precious metals and ags are all higher. US economic data slate includes weekly ADP employment change at 8:15am. Fed speaker slate is blank during Sept. 5-17 external communications blackout period around the Sept. 15-16 FOMC meetingIn premarket trading, Mag 7 stocks: Meta rises 5% with analysts positive on the Facebook parent after it debuted Muse, an AI assistant;
Futures Slide As Brent Tops $100, 10Y Yields Rise Above 4.81% Ahead Of Expanded Treasury Buyback
“The risks to equity markets continue to pile up as the discount rate which they face gets higher and higher and higher. The question is to what extent can continued AI earnings growth continue to push equity markets onward.”
Brent breaks $100 (first since July 24); 10Y yields 4.81%; S&P 500 futures -0.5%. Rising discount rates compress IT capex ROI. Meta's Muse AI hits 10x engagement vs test, signaling AI as prime differentiator; Treasury buyback seen insufficient to cap yields.











