Pharmaceutical companies have embraced artificial intelligence in drug research almost universally, yet few company executives expect AI to actually make drugs succeed, according to a Citi survey released on Tuesday.“The biggest risk to the AI-powered drug discovery thesis is not that AI fails to accelerate discovery,” said John Yung, head of Asia healthcare research at the US investment bank. “The stronger risk is that acceleration does not translate into better drugs or higher probability of success.”“It’s only through that translation that companies can turn AI-driven speed into profit, and patients into real beneficiaries,” Yung added.Some 72 per cent of respondents said their companies were either “scaling” or had “fully scaled” AI across research and development, and no company reported having no plans to adopt the technology, the survey found.Yet that enthusiasm comes with a caveat. Only 24 per cent of respondents expected AI to deliver a significant improvement in drug success probability, while 56 per cent expected only a moderate uplift, “not a wholesale revolution,” according to the survey.Another 34 per cent said human biology, clinical judgment and execution will remain as bottlenecks, regardless of how much AI is deployed.
As China embraces AI, few US pharmaceutical execs bet on it for innovation
Survey finds drug companies planned to scale AI or had already done so, but few anticipated a ‘wholesale revolution’ from the tech.
72% of pharma companies scale AI in R&D, yet only 24% expect significant improvement in drug success. Speed gains won't convert to profit without solving human bottlenecks; clinical judgment remains a critical barrier regardless of AI.









