France’s Champagne region is facing an extraordinary harvest collapse. Yet consumers should not expect the number of bottles reaching shops to halve — at least not yet.

The reason is that this year’s harvest does not determine how many bottles can be sold immediately. Champagne takes several years to make, and producers hold substantial stocks and reserve wines from earlier harvests to help maintain supply when a crop is poor.

And across France, wine production is expected to reflect a very poor harvest this year. According to preliminary estimates from Agreste, the French Agriculture Ministry’s statistics office, overall wine production is to fall to 3.39 billion litres in 2026.

That would be 6% less than in 2025 and 28% below the 4.72 billion litres produced in 2023.

If confirmed, it would also be France’s smallest wine crop since 1957, when output stood at 3.25 billion litres, according to the International Organisation of Vine and Wine.