Politics · Guinea-Bissau
—The stakes. Guinea-Bissau’s new military junta must satisfy ECOWAS and foreign investors while managing a cashew-dependent economy shadowed by cocaine transshipment.
—The date. General Horta Inta-A Na Man was declared transitional president on 27 November 2025 for a one-year period ending with promised elections on 6 December 2026.
—The economic engine. Cashew nuts dominate exports, leaving Guinea-Bissau vulnerable to price swings as the junta tries to stabilise public finances.
—The security risk. Cocaine transshipment through coastal islands has long distorted politics and may shape how ECOWAS designs its sanctions debate.
