A couple hours ago Jensen Huang declared that the race to AGI is over. Unfortunately, Huang gave no evidence and no definitions, which feels to me like an effort at a takeover of a scientific question by corporate fiat.I would urge him to read agidefinition.AI by Hendrycks, Yoshua Bengio & many others (including myself), and to consider how Astra is doing on the kinds of examples I laid out in my 10 -item bet with Brundage. Autoformalization may finally be in reach, and maybe (?) reliable coding; I doubt that Astra will have hit any of the other eight.By conventional definitions, Astra still falls short. Declaring victory without a definition simply muddies the waters.§Aside from the lack of definitions, I would expect that if Astra really were AGI, it would be a quantum leap ahead of its competitors. Instead, many see it as not much more than on a par with Fable 5.1 in real-world applications:Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀@peterwildefordMy current view is that GPT 6 Astra is not meaningfully better than Fable 5.1 for my personal work, but that using both side-by-side is nonetheless very helpful and additive.
I have been using GPT 6 Astra and Fable 5.1 a bunch over the past two days, largely for policy analysis,…8:45 PM · Sep 6, 2026 · 4.08K Views6 Replies · 4 Reposts · 86 LikesAnd one well-respected set of benchmarks suggests that Astra is a genuine improvement but not significantly off-trend.When real AGI arrives, we won’t need to squint our eyes.And we won’t need Jensen’s approval, either. The results, at that point, will speak for themselves.Update: One reader pointed to the ARC-AGI test as a criterion. Here’s what the inventor of ARC said about this:François Chollet@fcholletMany of you will ask, "if it saturates ARC 3, is it AGI?"
