Jayden Daniels took the NFL by storm with his Offensive Rookie of the Year campaign that carried the Washington Commanders to 12 wins and the NFC Championship Game — the franchise’s best year since its last Super Bowl win to cap the 1991 season. An elbow injury coupled with natural regression sent Daniels and the Commanders crashing back down to Earth, clearing the lane for the NFC East’s new power, the Philadelphia Eagles, to lead the division.The Eagles are once again favored to win it with +120 odds at DraftKings that give them a 45 percent implied probability, with the Dallas Cowboys a clear second at +205 and a 32 percent implied probability. That leaves the Commanders with around a 16 percent implied probability at +500, just a hair above the New York Giants at +600 and 14 percent.We compared those numbers to my model. Here’s a break down of the projections below.NFC East oddsNFC East projectionsTeamWinsPlayoffsDivisionSuper BowlEagles10.463.0%44.5%5.5%Cowboys9.248.5%29.4%3.5%Commanders7.628.9%14.9%1.2%Giants7.122.7%11.2%0.9%I’m not counting on the Commanders challenging the Eagles or Cowboys for the NFC East crown. The defense needs to take a big step forward after their offseason signings, but I still don’t project them to be an average unit. And while the Cowboys might not either, the Commanders offense isn’t to the same level — and camp reports give me serious doubts they’ll close the gap.