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The latest data offers a mixed picture of the economy: Incomes are rising at a solid clip, but inflation remains stubborn and consumer spending has lost momentum.

Why it matters: Consumers are becoming more cautious. The potential upside of weaker spending is that it should help cool inflation, but that payoff has yet to materialize, with underlying inflation still higher than at any point in 2024 or 2025.

What they're saying: "The best thing that can be said is that at least core inflation didn't go higher," Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth Management, wrote in a note, referring to the inflation gauge that strips out food and energy costs.