Cryptocurrency bettors have significantly lowered the odds that Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) will commercially launch the Optimus humanoid robot in 2026.

No Optimus Launch in 2026?

Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket is currently pricing in a 9% chance that Tesla releases the robot by Dec. 31, down 2% in a week and 15% in a month.

The odds peaked at 33% only a month ago, but have since cratered.

Musk’s Grand Vision