The forecast is based on an analysis of groundnut prices at the Tindivanam and Sevur regulated markets over the past 25 years.
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Groundnut prices during the upcoming harvest season are likely to rule at around ₹65-70 a kg, according to a pre-sowing price forecast by the Domestic and Export Market Intelligence Cell (DEMIC) of the Centre for Agricultural and Rural Development Studies (CARDS), Tamil Nadu Agricultural University (TNAU).The forecast is based on an analysis of groundnut prices at the Tindivanam and Sevur regulated markets over the past 25 years, along with a market survey. TNAU has advised farmers to factor in the price outlook while taking their sowing decisions.India, the world’s second-largest groundnut producer, harvested 119.42 lakh tonnes from 57.62 lakh hectares in 2024-25, with productivity at 2,073 kg/hectare, according to the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare. The area under the crop has increased 3.17 per cent in 2025-26. However, trade sources expect arrivals to decline amid recent fluctuations in the monsoon.Major producerTamil Nadu is among the major groundnut-producing States, with 3.15 lakh hectares under the crop and production of 7.69 lakh tonnes in 2024-25. Productivity stood at 2,439 kg a hectare.Thiruvannamalai, Namakkal, Villupuram, Salem, Cuddalore and Ariyalur are the major groundnut-growing districts in the State. Though the crop is cultivated throughout the year depending on rainfall and water availability, sowing is concentrated between June and August in most districts.Groundnut is primarily used for oil extraction in Tamil Nadu, while its oilcake is an important high-protein livestock feed. The crop is also consumed directly and used in confectionery products.Published on August 23, 2026
