Brazil · Politics

Key Facts

Ceará is tied. Real Time Big Data puts Elmano de Freitas and Ciro Gomes on 44% each in the first round.

And tied in a runoff. A simulated second round gives Elmano 46% to Ciro’s 45% — inside the margin of error.

The method. 1,600 voters interviewed 15–19 August, margin of error 2 percentage points, 95% confidence, registered with the electoral court as CE-08223/2026.