The Big 12, like most of college football, has undergone a major evolution in the last several years. With its historical powers now in other conferences, a power vacuum appeared to emerge with teams vying for supremacy.Last season, Texas Tech filled that void emphatically with a dominant regular-season display. The Red Raiders went 8-1 in Big 12 play, then capped that campaign off with a 34-7 demolition of BYU in the Big 12 championship game. The tables turned on Tech in the College Football Playoff with a 23-0 loss to Oregon, but the Red Raiders have loaded up again.Tech is the clear favorite to win the Big 12 again this season. The Red Raiders are even money at several major sportsbooks while BYU and Utah are the only other teams with odds shorter than 10-to-1. Kansas State, Houston, Arizona and TCU are in the next tier of contenders.Big 12 oddsAustin Mock’s projections mirror the odds, giving Texas Tech a 48.1 percent chance to win the Big 12. His model also gives the Red Raiders a 4.9 percent chance of winning the national title.The rest of the conference has a less than one percent chance of winning it all, the only Power 4 conference with just one team clocking in at above one percent.Now let’s take a look at Mock’s numbers for both win totals and conference title chances, and compare them to the win total odds for every Big 12 team.XWINS is the average number of wins a team got through Mock’s simulations. W ODDS is the currently listed win total line for each team on DraftKings. CONF is the chance Mock’s model projects a team to win the conference. CFP is the chance Mock’s model projects a team to make the 12-team Playoff.Big 12 projectionsTeamXwinsW oddsConfCFPTexas Tech10.310.548.1%65.5%BYU8.48.514.9%25.8%Utah7.98.57.5%15.6%Kansas State7.78.54.8%12.0%Arizona7.47.54.8%11.7%Houston7.78.54.7%12.0%TCU6.96.53.3%8.7%Baylor6.36.52.3%5.7%Arizona State6.26.52.2%5.1%Kansas6.45.52.0%5.2%UCF6.35.51.5%3.9%Cincinnati6.05.51.3%4.0%Oklahoma State5.66.51.0%2.7%Iowa State5.74.50.8%2.2%Colorado4.74.50.5%1.3%West Virginia5.35.50.5%1.6%To color in context on his model’s projections, Mock answers a few of the biggest questions looming over the Big 12 heading into the season.
Big 12 odds, win totals, projections: Texas Tech clear favorite to win conference again
Texas Tech is the clear favorite to win the Big 12 again. Here's how Austin Mock's model projects the entire conference.









