XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) could drop another 50% as three regulatory catalysts vanish and ETF inflows dry up, according to analysis published by CryptoQuant.

Why The $0.50 Target Is Still On The Table

CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA wrote in a bearish analysis that XRP’s decline toward $1 is not just a technical breakdown but a shift in market structure.

Whale to Exchange Flow on Binance currently reads just 77, down roughly 39% and far below the massive spikes seen during the sharp price moves of 2025 and early 2026. That means whales are not the ones driving this drop.

The real problem is the absence of buyers. XRP has consistently made lower levels from its peak near $3.39, and while the major selling wave appears mostly done, no strong new demand has stepped in to replace it.