Standard Chartered's global head of digital assets research said on Thursday that the $100 end-2030 price target he set for UNI in June may be too low, citing the rate at which Uniswap is now burning tokens with fees earned on Robinhood Chain.
The burn rate Geoff Kendrick is extrapolating from is 17 days old, and most of it comes from a chain that launched on Jul. 1. Uniswap's fee income has become concentrated in a single venue faster than any of the bank's 2030 assumptions about tokenized assets moving on-chain have been tested.
Uniswap protocol revenue averaged $244,222 a day between Jul. 27 and Aug. 12, up from $99,770 a day over the preceding 17 days, according to DefiLlama. All of it is used to buy and burn UNI under UNIfication, the December 2025 upgrade that routed protocol fees into programmatic burns. Annualized, the post-Jul. 27 run rate is $89.1 million, against the $90 million Kendrick cited.
At UNI's current $3.53, that pays for about 25 million tokens a year, or 4% of the 624.2 million in circulation.
"A 4% burn is clearly unsustainable," Kendrick wrote. "Even if the UNI token price were at my year-end 2026 target (USD6.50) the burn rate would be 2.2% annualised. Even that is likely not sustainable long-term. And that's before we get more partnerships like the Robinhood one." He closed the note: "I fear my 2030 UNI target of USD100 is too low!"
