Rocket Lab Corp.

(NASDAQ:RKLB) reports second-quarter earnings Monday after the close, with investors listening for an update on Neutron.

Prediction market traders are overwhelmingly skeptical the company's next-generation rocket flies this year.

Traders on Kalshi assign just a 14% probability that Neutron launches before 2027, even as management said last quarter that the rocket remained on track for its first flight later this year.

Why Neutron Matters More Than a Small Earnings Beat or Miss Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company that builds spacecraft, payloads and satellite components for commercial and government customers.