Russian President Vladimir Putin’s approval rating is falling sharply even according to the country’s state-linked polling agencies – institutions whose figures have long been treated with caution.The Public Opinion Foundation (FOM), which regularly conducts surveys for the Kremlin, recorded a five-percentage-point weekly drop in approval of Putin’s performance, from 71% to 66%. It was the steepest fall since Russia announced its partial mobilization in autumn 2022.JOIN US ON TELEGRAMFollow our coverage of the war on the @Kyivpost_official.The share of respondents who disapproved of Putin’s performance rose to 16%, its highest level since the full-scale invasion began. Trust in the president fell to 67%, while distrust reached 20%.The state-run Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VTsIOM) showed a similar trend. By mid-July, Putin’s approval rating had fallen for three consecutive weeks to 65.1%, down from 70.4% in mid-June. Trust had declined from 76.7% to 71%.The figures are striking not because they prove that only around a third of Russians oppose Putin. They are striking because a visible decline has broken through a polling system that may be structurally inclined to overstate support.How the polling method shapes the answerSince May, VTsIOM has used a combined sample for its weekly political ratings: half of the interviews are conducted by telephone and half through what it calls a “route sample.”In practice, the latter involves interviewers approaching respondents at their homes according to a predetermined route. VTsIOM itself acknowledges in its methodological notes that question wording and circumstances arising during fieldwork can introduce bias into survey results.
Why Putin’s Real Support May Be Even Lower Than Reported
Russian state-linked pollsters have recorded Putin’s sharpest decline since the 2022 mobilization. An opposition activist says fear, selective participation, and in-person polling may still be concealing the full scale of the drop.








