“We’d prefer to be in the lead. However, panic? Nah.”

This is one senior Reform UK source’s response to the ‘Burnham bounce’ which has seen Labour leapfrog Nigel Farage’s party to lead a national poll for the first time since March 2025.

It’s part of a refrain echoed across the upper echelons of Reform: Labour’s boost in the polls under new Prime Minister Andy Burnham was to be expected; there’s no need to panic; it won’t last.

Shorts

Reform’s impressive polling streak came to an end on Monday when a survey by More in Common put Labour on 28 per cent (up four points) to Reform’s 24 per cent (down two).