Indian government bonds ended flat on Tuesday after the previous session's sharp rally, as a hefty supply of 10-year notes later this week and the looming Federal Reserve policy decision kept risk appetite in check.The benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond yield erased its early fall to end at 6.7774%. It settled at 6.7739% on Monday.Bond yields move inversely to prices.Hedge funds on track for another stellar year on AI boomGlobal hedge funds are on track for an exceptional year, surpassing previous performance benchmarks. In the first half of the year, the average return reached seven percent, well above the historical average. With rising investor interest, nearly half of the investors are looking to increase their hedge fund commitments. Particularly, equity long/short funds have posted remarkable gains by leveraging stock-picking strategies, showing a substantial advantage over conventional passive investment portfolios.Sentiment was initially buoyed by 2% decline in Brent crude to $86.65 a barrel and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield's more than 2-basis-point fall in the Asian trade.Traders turned cautious ahead of the Fed's rate decision due late Wednesday, where it is expected to hold rates. However, money markets are pricing a high probability of a 25-bp hike in September."More than the outcome, people will watch the statement for cues on the future course of rate hikes," said Alok Singh, head of treasury at CSB Bank.Singh said 6.74% is a key resistance level for the Indian 10-year yield and could break if oil prices decline further.Geopolitical uncertainty persisted after Oman won Gulf backing for a plan allowing Tehran to collect voluntary fees for the use of the Strait of Hormuz, a Gulf source told Reuters.U.S. President Donald Trump said "good talks" were under way with Iran, while Tehran denied resuming negotiations with Washington.A 340-billion-rupee sale of 10-year paper on Friday also kept traders on the sideline.State-run banks likely continued selling bonds on Tuesday after offloading 33.7 billion rupees ($351.58 million) on Monday to book profits, traders said.RATESIndia's overnight index swaps eased, tracking lower oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields, while traders awaited the Fed's guidance.The one-year swap rate eased slightly to 5.8825%, while both the two-year rate and the five-year rate fell nearly 1 bp to 6.0650% and 6.35%, respectively.
India bonds pause rally as large debt supply, Fed decision loom
Indian government bonds ended the day unchanged on Tuesday after a recent rally, as an influx of ten-year notes and the Federal Reserve's policy decision dampened risk appetite. Market participants kept a close eye on oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields for guidance. There is an expectation of a rate increase in September from the Federal Reserve, with geopolitical tensions lingering due to Oman's proposed fees in the Hormuz Strait.






