LSTMs are still the go-to architecture for a lot of time series work, but they're annoying to trust. You get a number out the other end and no real sense of why the model landed there. This tutorial walks through training an LSTM on daily temperature data, then pulling it apart with three explainability methods: permutation importance, SHAP, and Integrated Gradients.
Who this is for: people who already know some Keras and want to add interpretability to a forecasting model, not a from-scratch intro to neural nets.
1. Getting the data into shape
LSTMs want a 3D tensor — (samples, timesteps, features) — so before anything else we need to turn a flat column of temperatures into overlapping 7-day windows, each one paired with the value on day 8.
import numpy as np
