We are a little more than two weeks away from the Aug. 3 trade deadline and the majority of teams still have a realistic path to the postseason. At the moment, there are only six teams that we should be looking at as obvious sellers — the Cincinnati Reds, Colorado Rockies, Kansas City Royals, Los Angeles Angels, New York Mets and San Francisco Giants.There are several other teams teetering on the edge of being sellers and for those teams, the next two weeks will determine their deadline course, making this season more challenging than most for front offices looking to make trades.Because of parity across the league, the trade market has been changing rapidly. When we looked at it a month ago, we thought it might be headlined by a Tarik Skubal or Joe Ryan trade, but Detroit has the best record in the AL since June 1 and is now just 3.5 games back in the wild-card race, while the Twins are tied for a wild-card spot. Unless those teams immediately slump out of the break, it’s unlikely either ace will be traded.Two weeks ago, it appeared the Boston Red Sox would be a main character at the deadline as a seller because they had starting pitcher Sonny Gray, closer Aroldis Chapman and maybe even outfielder Jarren Duran as potential trade chips. However, they won nine straight heading into the break. They are just a half-game out of the wild card and are now clearly buyers looking for lineup upgrades.With so much still in flux, let’s first concentrate on the teams most likely to be selling and what they might be willing to trade. Then we’ll take a peek at those on the bubble to see what trade chips could come on the market should any of them struggle over the next two weeks.New York Mets (41-57)Potential trade chips: All of the roster, save for a few young players and Juan SotoThe Mets have taken over as the team most likely to be the headliners at the deadline, as they have more work to do than any team in baseball. The only players who are likely untouchable are starters Nolan McLean and Christian Scott, and outfielders Juan Soto, A.J. Ewing and Carson Benge. They have to listen on everyone else. Yes, I said everyone else, including Francisco Lindor, Bo Bichette, Jorge Polanco, Freddy Peralta, Sean Manaea, Brett Baty, Tyrone Taylor and their entire bullpen (i.e., Luke Weaver, Brooks Raley, Huascar Brazobán and A.J. Minter).Freddy Peralta’s disappointing start to his season has likely lowered his trade value. (Adam Hunger / Getty Images)Given their hefty contracts, Lindor and Bichette are probably long shots to be traded, and unless Peralta starts pitching better, he might not bring back the return they were hoping for. Their best trade value will probably be from their bullpen, as they have a chance to corner that part of the deadline market with several relievers that teams will have interest in.Los Angeles Angels (38-59)Potential trade chips: José Soriano, Reid Detmers, Jo AdellUnder new interim general manager John Mozeliak, the Angels are a team to keep an eye on at the deadline. Mozeliak was brought in last month to right the ship, and now the question is: Will he be able to convince ownership to trade some of their best assets?Teams have been calling on starting pitchers José Soriano and Reid Detmers, who are both controllable for two more seasons. They are also getting calls on outfielder Jo Adell.The only way the Angels are ever going to get better is to trade some of these veteran players for multiple good prospects. A good template for them to follow is the one recently used by the Chicago White Sox, who traded ace Garrett Crochet to the Red Sox before last season. In that deal, they landed four prospects who have helped them go from 102 losses last year to first place this year. With the trade market so thin, the Angels should do well if they deal both pitchers.Adell is not a good defender or overall hitter, but he does have power. With so many teams looking for right-handed power, the Angels should be able to trade him to help with their rebuild.I know many would love to see Mike Trout traded to the Phillies, but based on my conversation with Mozeliak, I get the strong impression that that’s not happening, at least during this season.San Francisco Giants (41-55)Potential trade chips: Robbie Ray, Luis Arraez, Tyler Mahle, relieversThe most likely starter to be traded at this year’s deadline is left-hander Robbie Ray, who is performing well in his walk year. He might not be a top-of-the-rotation arm anymore, but he certainly could start Game 3 or 4 of a playoff series. The Giants can also offer right-hander Tyler Mahle, who is a savvy veteran on a one-year deal who has value as a No. 5 starter. Out of their bullpen, they could probably net a strong return for left-hander Erik Miller and right-hander JT Brubaker.Luis Arraez’s bat has returned to his league-leading form, but it is his resurgent glove at second base that makes him an even more intriguing trade candidate. (Daniel Kucin Jr. / Imagn Images)On the position player side, the most likely hitter to be moved is second baseman Luis Arraez. He doesn’t have power or speed, but he is batting .330 and has improved enough defensively to stay at second base.The Giants will listen on their core veteran players, like Rafael Devers, Matt Chapman and Willy Adames, but their contracts make them tough to move. I do think Adames would be a good fit with the Red Sox, however. Other players whom teams could have an interest in include Jung Hoo Lee and Casey Schmitt.Cincinnati Reds (43-52)Potential trade chips: Right-handed power hitters, veteran starters and relieversThe Reds need to be sellers and take advantage of a market desperate for right-handed power. Cincinnati can offer Spencer Steer, who has 14 homers and can play first base, third base and left field. Teams like the Blue Jays, Mariners and Rangers would be good trade fits for Steer. A team might also take a chance on the power of Eugenio Suárez, even though he’s hitting just .208 with 11 homers, as well as on catcher Tyler Stephenson.There continue to be rumors that the Reds will shop ace Hunter Greene, although they’ve never confirmed that. When you have two No. 1 starters like the Reds do with Chase Burns and Greene, I’m not sure it makes sense to trade one of them. I’d much rather have them be at the top of my rotation in 2027. However, they could be concerned about Greene’s injury history and the fact that he’s signed through 2028. He’s certainly worth monitoring.The Reds also might drum up interest in veteran starter Brady Singer, who has posted a 2.83 ERA over his last five starts. In terms of the bullpen, left-handers like Brock Burke and Caleb Ferguson always have trade value at this time of year.Kansas City Royals (38-59)Potential trade chips: Veteran starters, relievers, Lane ThomasThe Royals have been one of the most disappointing teams in baseball this year, and they really have no choice but to sell. The most likely Royals to be traded are All-Star right-hander Michael Wacha and veteran right-hander Seth Lugo.Wacha is now 35 and is signed through 2027 with a team option for 2028 at a reasonable salary of $18 million this year and $14 million thereafter. Wacha has been consistent, posting ERAs under 4.00 for five consecutive seasons (including this one).Lugo, 36, has made 19 starts this season with a 4.56 ERA. He’s more of a backend starter at this point in his career and, like Wacha, is controllable through 2027 with a club option for 2028.Other players of value they can trade are outfielder Lane Thomas, who rakes against left-handed pitching and can play all three outfield positions, and relievers like Lucas Erceg, Daniel Lynch, Alex Lange and John Schreiber.This is an important trade deadline for Kansas City, and they need to take advantage of the sellers’ market.Colorado Rockies (39-59)Potential trade chips: Backend starters, relieversThe Rockies really don’t have a lot to offer. They could dangle starting pitchers Kyle Freeland, Ryan Feltner and Michael Lorenzen as potential backend starters for contending teams, but their best assets are relievers like Antonio Senzatela, Juan Mejia, Jimmy Herget and Brennan Bernardino.On the position player side, they can offer a couple of fourth-outfielder types in Jake McCarthy or Mickey Moniak and maybe a utility player like Willi Castro, but the reality is that outside of a couple of relievers, there is not a lot they have that moves the needle.Padres, Blue Jays among the teams that could become sellers soonThere are a handful of teams that could become sellers if they don’t play well leading into the deadline: the Athletics, Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore Orioles, Detroit Tigers, San Diego Padres, Toronto Blue Jays and Washington Nationals. I get the impression that neither the A’s nor Orioles will become true sellers but rather will look to make deals with teams willing to trade off of their major-league rosters.If the Tigers stumble right after the break, they will become the talk of the deadline as they could offer impending free-agent starters Skubal and Casey Mize, along with a bevy of veteran relievers that include Kyle Finnegan and Kensley Jansen. My prediction is that they stay in the race and hold onto all of them, for better or worse.If the Tigers do sell, Casey Mize will join Tarik Skubal as a potential trade chip. (Mike Mulholland / Getty Images)The Blue Jays could become sellers if they fall further out of the race right after the break. They have several older veteran players who could become available, led by starters Kevin Gausman and Shane Bieber, and Gold Glove center fielder Daulton Varsho.Even if they slide further out of the wild-card race, I don’t see the Nationals trading any of their most valuable assets, which include Cade Cavalli, Foster Griffin or the members of their MLB-best lineup. However, they could move a veteran starter like Zack Littell or Miles Mikolas at the buzzer.The Padres are fascinating because their team president, AJ Preller, is a wheeler-dealer always willing to trade his best players and best prospects. That’s why the thought of moving starter Michael King, closer Mason Miller or southpaw Adrian Morejon shouldn’t be ignored if someone is willing to overpay for one of them.They also might want to see if they can move any of their players on long-term contracts, like shortstop Xander Bogaerts. There is no chance they catch the Dodgers in the NL West, but they do have a chance at a wild-card berth and whether they buy or sell looks more like a coin flip right now. If I had to guess, I would see them slightly upgrading their roster rather than making any significant deals.The Diamondbacks are in the same boat as the Padres. If they do sell, veteran starter Merrill Kelly could be on the move once again as could any of their top relievers like Paul Sewalt, Kevin Ginkel and Jonathan Loáisiga. As sellers, they would also likely look to move outfielder/DH Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and veterans Max Kepler and Nolan Arenado, provided there’s interest. Injuries to the Diamondbacks’ pitching staff are the main reason they could end up sellers.As of today, there are only six legitimate sellers and if the standings don’t change over the next two-and-a-half weeks, then the best trades we might see will be those between two teams both looking to upgrade their major-league rosters. Either way, put your seat belt on and enjoy the ride; we’ll have it all covered with our elite team at The Athletic.
Trade deadline re-set: 6 teams look poised to sell, while several others are on the edge
Six teams are almost certainly sellers and a few more are poised to join that group. Which players might they be willing to deal?









