Jul 15, 2026 – 5.37pmTreasurer Jim Chalmers’ budget bakes in the equivalent of more than 41,000 public service job cuts over the next decade – the same number Peter Dutton proposed before the last election – despite economists arguing the reductions are unlikely to ever occur.The Parliamentary Budget Office on Tuesday warned the federal budget’s return to surplus in 2034-35 hinged on a series of potentially unrealistic assumptions, including unprecedented restraint in NDIS spending, no further income tax cuts, a shrinking public service and the termination of all temporary government programs.Subscribe to gift this articleGift 5 articles to anyone you choose each month when you subscribe.Subscribe nowAlready a subscriber? Fetching latest articles