For decades, the bargain between states and mining companies was relatively predictable. Governments provided regulatory certainty, companies invested capital and extracted minerals, and the state captured value primarily through taxes, royalties and employment.

Today, that bargain is being renegotiated. As geopolitical fragmentation reshapes global supply chains and critical minerals become strategic assets, African governments are instead asking: if the world places greater strategic value on our resources, why should we settle for yesterday’s terms?

Ghana is at the centre of that debate. Like many resource-rich economies, it seeks more value from its mineral wealth through stronger local content requirements, greater domestic participation and increased investment commitments.

The objective is understandable. Although governance failures and corruption often prevent mineral wealth from translating into development, the traditional ‘pit-to-port’ model arguably limits resource extraction benefits by concentrating higher-value processing and manufacturing elsewhere.

As demand for critical minerals grows, ‘climate colonialism’ accusations have reinforced these frustrations. African countries are expected to supply the inputs for the global energy transition without sharing in its industrial gains.