SYDNEY: The United States has launched a series of strikes on Iran in response to the Iranian targeting of vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.These are the most severe violations yet of the memorandum of understanding that came into effect on Jun 17 and may signal an end to the truce.For the first time since the initial ceasefire on Apr 8, US President Donald Trump has definitively stated the ceasefire is over.These escalating tensions suggest the ceasefire will not turn into a permanent peace. The US is being drawn into a long war with Iran, against its will.
FIGHTING FOR CONTROLThe key sticking point that has driven the latest round of strikes is Iran’s determination to impose control over the Strait of Hormuz.The memorandum of understanding stated Iran would use its “best efforts” to ensure safe passage of commercial vessels through the strait with no charge for 60 days.However, tensions immediately spiked over ships using the “Omani route” through the strait. This is a US-endorsed maritime corridor that hugs the coast of Oman and involves international coordination.Iran wants vessels to use a second route that passes along the Iranian coast and is closely monitored and controlled by Iran.The strait is too wide for Iran to maintain control over both routes without the use, or threatened use, of force.Iran has shown it is willing to use live fire to deter vessels from sailing the Omani route.
