Nigel Farage has never been afraid to gamble, and many times before he’s seen his big bets pay off. His decision to resign as the MP for Clacton and trigger a by-election is, in many ways, very much in his playbook: a bold electoral gambit, pitched as a fight with the establishment. Not only that, but in the face of a series of underwhelming by-election performances in Gorton, Makerfield and likely the Greater Manchester by-election, a resounding Clacton win could be the way to reboot Reform’s momentum.
But will his Clacton gambit see him win big, or could this be the one that backfires?
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