Israel and Lebanon cannot afford another false dawn

An Israeli soldier works on a tank near the border with Lebanon in northern Israel, Wednesday, July 1, 2026. (AP)

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The history of attempts to resolve the conflict between Israel and Lebanon has been marked by repeated false dawns. Each round of fighting has typically been followed by some form of agreement, often even a UN Security Council resolution to give it an international stamp of approval, only for hostilities to resume at some point. The common denominator has been the failure to implement what had been agreed. What has always complicated matters is that Israel’s conflict has not been with the Lebanese government but with non-state actors: until 1982, the Palestine Liberation Organization, and since then, Hezbollah. In both cases, their hostility has been directed not only against Israel but also against the Lebanese state.